Thursday, February 19, 2009

The Myth of Peak Oil

It's sometimes hard to look at all the nonsense being perpetuated by people with agendas, as it seems there's almost nothing important any more that isn't politicized in some way, and so ultimately lied about. Gold is one of those things, and another major one, which I want to talk about is peak oil.

So by definition, what is peak oil? It simply means that oil that was relatively easy to reach and extract has been depleted. The question then becomes if that is in reality the case. The answer is absolutely no. The peak oil myth is just that - a myth. That doesn't mean there won't come a day when that becomes the reality, it's just that it isn't the case now, and won't be any time soon.

So why is the myth continually perpetuated? Because it takes the eyes and minds of people off of why oil prices sometimes surge and the caused behind it. The major reason there's the beginnings of an artifially induced oil peak is because of consequences of political actions put into law which forbids access and drilling on easy-to-drill and extract oil. Think of Alaska and off the coastlines of the U.S. There are billions of barrels of oil available, yet not allowed to be drilled for because of pressure from radical environmentalists and lawmakers looking to curry favor from the media which loves this type of idiocy.

This is mostly brought about from the endless introduction of fear as the key tool used by these liars in order to manipulate public policy to their hidden agendas.

These manipulators even try to ask the types of irrelevant questions that herd people a certain way so, again, they don't look at the facts, realities and agendas behind them. For example, they use terms like what is going to happen "after oil." Or other statements like "surviving peak oil," or "life after peak oil. The implication is that peak oil is reality that we must now deal with, rather than the fact that there's absolutely no basis for concern at this time if the current regulations were removed. That's what is trying to be hidden from the minds of people.

Besides the obvious billions of barrels of oil in Alaska and off American coastlines, where else is there oil available? In the United States itself there is enough oil in shale to make it the largest oil reserves in the world; far beyond what Saudi Arabia has. That is a proven fact. There are of course also have billions of barrels of oil in the Canadian sands area, which will also last for decades. These are just a couple of areas which don't include many other areas in the world.

So why imply an oil shortage, what is the hidden agenda behind it. Some of it is philosophical, as ignorant people literally think of the earth as their mother, and to drill into their mother is actually hideous in their warped minds. Another reason for asserting oil depletion is in order to promote agendas related to radical environmentalists and their business allies, who want to try to cash in on the misguided focus on what is called "alternative energy," where billions of dollars are being wasted because of the fear mongering people who make it look like the world is falling in order to gain access to public and private money to further their purposes. It's nothing more than that.

There's no oil crisis, we're not close to losing easy access to oil supplies.

While I do agree that oil prices will eventually have to go up, especially until ways of figuring out how to extract oil from shale is made cheaper, there is still so much oil available that to say we're in any type of crisis is dishonest at best, and ignorant at worst.

Even new ways of scouring the ocean floors and seeing what lies beneath the salty residue has resulted in billions of barrels of oil being discovered by Brazil, and their just getting going on that, as Petrobras continues to look for more deposits. Granted, it's far below the ocean floor and will be more costly - at this time - to extract, is does show how much oil there is that hasn't been discovered yet, and how much would be avaiable when restrictions on drilling for oil on coastlines are lifted.

The world oil supply is fine, and world oil reserves in a solid place. Oil consumption for now has cut back, as economic weakness causes consumers to drive less and stay around home more. That will extend signficantly the amount of oil available and its use.

So you don't have to worry or be fearful over the dishonest assertions by those with private agendas. There's billions and billions of barrels of oil available, it's just not being allowed to be drilled for because of existing laws which eventually will be withdrawn when real pressures from the population make it politically dangerous to keep people from cheaper oil and gas prices.


  1. Your essay reflects the same attitude as how most Americans spend their money on their immediate satisfaction without thinking about future consequences.

    Oil won't run out in ten years, twenty years, maybe even fifty years, but are you so narrow minded that you forgot human civilizations(albeit different ones) have lived at least thousands of years? When we know we only have 100 years of oil left, it's normal to panic, and we should be panicking. A hundred years is only a fraction of our history, and although it may not immediately affect you, it will affect your next generation who will be living well past 2100.

    By investing money and devoting energy to finding alternative energy, we're doing future generations a favor, think of it as a present from us to our kids, they will be thankful a hundred years, maybe two hundred years, or even thousands of years from now. Economically, it will be even more expensive to find and develop alternative energy. Think long term, not short term.

    Here's a quote from "The Day the Earth Stood Still": At the precipice we change. I think we can be better than that, and act before the precipice.

    Anyway, I find your blog an excellent read, and it's always nice to see people express their opinions in a different light. Keep up the good work.

    -Passing by Internet User

  2. I've read many books by prominent geologists who have worked in oil exploration all their lives, people like C. J. Campbell, who asserts that Peak Oil is indeed upon us.

    I wonder if you could highlight your expertise in the area of oil exploration, and how you came to a different conclusion (as to the timing of Peak Oil) to one of worlds leading experts who has been in the business for over 50 years?

    Just so that I can put your conclusions into perspective before I decide if I should believe you or him.


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    If you go to the graph foundry page you can customise and then embed various Brent crude and precious metals graphs.

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  4. In 2000 a Saudi oil geologist named Sadad I. Al Husseini made a startling discovery. Husseini, then head of exploration and production for the state-owned oil company, Saudi Aramco, had long been skeptical of the oil industry's upbeat forecasts for future production. Since the mid-1990s he had been studying data from the 250 or so major oil fields that produce most of the world's oil. He looked at how much crude remained in each one and how rapidly it was being depleted, then added all the new fields that oil companies hoped to bring on line in coming decades. When he tallied the numbers, Husseini says he realized that many oil experts "were either misreading the global reserves and oil-production data or obfuscating it."

    That is hardly the kind of scenario we've come to expect from Saudi Aramco, which sits atop the world's largest proven oil reserves—some 260 billion barrels, or roughly a fifth of the world's known crude—and routinely claims that oil will remain plentiful for many more decades.


    [Later in the same article] The change is so stark that the oil industry itself has lost some of its cockiness. Last fall, after the International Energy Agency released a forecast showing global oil demand rising more than a third by 2030, to 116 million barrels a day, several oil-company executives voiced doubts that production could ever keep pace. Speaking to an industry conference in London, Christophe de Margerie, head of the French oil giant Total, flatly declared that the "optimistic case" for maximum daily output was 100 million barrels—meaning global demand could outstrip supply before 2020. And in January, Royal Dutch Shell's CEO, Jeroen van der Veer, estimated that "after 2015 supplies of easy-to-access oil and gas will no longer keep up with demand."
    - National Geographic, “Tapped Out,” June 2008.