Sunday, November 9, 2008

Will Global Oil Demand Contract in 2009?

A number of energy analysts are asserting that global oil demand for 2009 will contract for the first time in 26 years.

If this were to happen, it would pretty much depend upon the depth the economic crisis goes and reaches.

The major emerging market economies (BRIC) are expected to decline in growth from between 2 percent to 3.5 percent, but will still remain in the positive, if projections are accurate.

More significant as far as oil contraction goes, is whether demand in the U.S. can fall to the point where it becomes a factor. with oil and gas prices falling so much in the recent months, it's difficult to see this continuing to the point of it going into negative territory.

Still, it's unknown at this time how deep the economic crisis will go, and there is definitely the possibility oil demand could contract with BRIC slowing down.

It remains to be seen if the increase in domestic gasoline demand in the U.S. last week is an anamoly, or if it's the beginning of increased use.

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